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civicAPI live election results and forecasts

civicAPI (civicapi.org), a free keyless election results API. Live US election-night results for the 3 November 2026 midterms (and other dates): every US Senate, US House and governor race with candidates, parties, votes, percentages, share reporting and winner calls, the nationwide seat tally per chamber, one race in full with county breakdown, and civicAPI's own Monte Carlo forecast of Senate, House and governor control with per-race ratings. Counts are unofficial until certified. Attribution to civicAPI is required by its terms.

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Use civicAPI live election results and forecasts for Forecast. Inspect the Alexandria inputs, ask for any missing required details, and return a small sample with sources.

Try civicAPI live election results and forecasts now.

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civicAPI live election results and forecasts
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1Request
stringRequired

Which forecast.

string

Only ratings for this state (two letters). Totals and simulations stay national.

5 credits
Codefollows the fields above
const result = await firecrawl.scrape({
  alexandria: {
    provider: "civicapi-org",
    capability: "elections/forecast",
    options: {
      chamber: "senate",
    },
  },
});
2Response example

This is a sample shape. Press Run to see live data from civicAPI live election results and forecasts.

{
  "attribution": "Results and forecasts from civicAPI (https://civicapi.org)",
  "chamber": "senate",
  "count": 35,
  "factor_weights": {
    "betting_markets": 0.2,
    "expert_ratings": 0.2,
    "fundraising": 0.1,
    "outside_spending": 0.1,
    "polls": 0.2
  },
  "forecaster": "civicAPI",
  "last_updated": "2026-11-03",
  "majority_rating": "Safe D",
  "monte_carlo": {
    "democrat_seats_p5": 59,
    "democrat_seats_p50": 63,
    "democrat_seats_p95": 66,
    "expected_democrat_seats": 62.7,
    "expected_republican_seats": 62.8,
    "majority_threshold": 51,
    "prob_democrat_majority": 100,
    "prob_republican_majority": 100,
    "republican_seats_p5": 59,
    "republican_seats_p50": 63,
    "republican_seats_p95": 67,
    "simulations": 65000
  },
  "national": null,
  "observed_at_ms": 1793720565648,
  "ratings": [
    {
      "democrat_pct": 62.2,
      "democratic_candidate": "Mary Peltola",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Sidney “Sid” Hill",
      "independent_pct": 0.1,
      "key": "AK",
      "rating": "Tilt D",
      "republican_candidate": null,
      "republican_pct": 37.7,
      "state": "AK"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 5.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Everett Wess",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "AL",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Barry Moore",
      "republican_pct": 94.7,
      "state": "AL"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 7.7,
      "democratic_candidate": "Hallie Shoffner",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "AR",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Tom Cotton",
      "republican_pct": 92.3,
      "state": "AR"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 98.7,
      "democratic_candidate": "John Hickenlooper",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": "Donald Willoughby",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "CO",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": null,
      "republican_pct": 1.3,
      "state": "CO"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 98.5,
      "democratic_candidate": "Chris Coons",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "DE",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Michael \"Dr. Mike\" Katz",
      "republican_pct": 1.5,
      "state": "DE"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 17.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Angie Nixon",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Neil J. Gillespie",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "FL",
      "rating": "Likely R",
      "republican_candidate": "Ashley Moody",
      "republican_pct": 82.7,
      "state": "FL"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 84.2,
      "democratic_candidate": "Jon Ossoff",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "GA",
      "rating": "Likely D",
      "republican_candidate": "Mike Collins",
      "republican_pct": 15.8,
      "state": "GA"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 50.8,
      "democratic_candidate": "Josh Turek",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "IA",
      "rating": "Tossup",
      "republican_candidate": "Ashley Hinson",
      "republican_pct": 49.2,
      "state": "IA"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 5.8,
      "democratic_candidate": null,
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 2.2,
      "key": "ID",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Jim Risch",
      "republican_pct": 92,
      "state": "ID"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 92,
      "democratic_candidate": "Juliana Stratton",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "IL",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Don Tracy",
      "republican_pct": 8,
      "state": "IL"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 43,
      "democratic_candidate": "Adam Hamilton",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "KS",
      "rating": "Tossup",
      "republican_candidate": "Roger Marshall",
      "republican_pct": 57,
      "state": "KS"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 13.2,
      "democratic_candidate": "Charles Booker",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "KY",
      "rating": "Likely R",
      "republican_candidate": "Andy Barr",
      "republican_pct": 86.8,
      "state": "KY"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 8,
      "democratic_candidate": "Jamie Davis",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "LA",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Julia Letlow",
      "republican_pct": 92,
      "state": "LA"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 98,
      "democratic_candidate": "Edward J. Markey",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": "Shiva Ayyadurai",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "MA",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "John Deaton",
      "republican_pct": 2,
      "state": "MA"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 58.4,
      "democratic_candidate": "Troy Jackson",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "ME",
      "rating": "Tossup",
      "republican_candidate": "Susan Collins",
      "republican_pct": 41.6,
      "state": "ME"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 61.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Abdul El-Sayed",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "MI",
      "rating": "Tilt D",
      "republican_candidate": "Mike Rogers",
      "republican_pct": 38.7,
      "state": "MI"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 80,
      "democratic_candidate": "Peggy Flanagan",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": "Marisa Simonetti",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "MN",
      "rating": "Likely D",
      "republican_candidate": "Michele Tafoya",
      "republican_pct": 20,
      "state": "MN"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 8,
      "democratic_candidate": "Scott Colom",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Ty Pinkins",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "MS",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Cindy Hyde-Smith",
      "republican_pct": 92,
      "state": "MS"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 0.6,
      "democratic_candidate": "Alani Bankhead",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Seth Bodnar",
      "independent_pct": 7.4,
      "key": "MT",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Kurt Alme",
      "republican_pct": 92,
      "state": "MT"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 76.2,
      "democratic_candidate": "Roy Cooper",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "NC",
      "rating": "Lean D",
      "republican_candidate": "Michael Whatley",
      "republican_pct": 23.8,
      "state": "NC"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 1.9,
      "democratic_candidate": null,
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Dan  Osborn",
      "independent_pct": 39.7,
      "key": "NE",
      "rating": "Tossup",
      "republican_candidate": "Pete  Ricketts",
      "republican_pct": 58.4,
      "state": "NE"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 69.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Chris Pappas",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "NH",
      "rating": "Tilt D",
      "republican_candidate": "John E. Sununu",
      "republican_pct": 30.7,
      "state": "NH"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 98.8,
      "democratic_candidate": "Cory Booker",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "NJ",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Justin Murphy",
      "republican_pct": 1.2,
      "state": "NJ"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 95.7,
      "democratic_candidate": "Ben Ray Luján",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "NM",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Larry Marker",
      "republican_pct": 4.3,
      "state": "NM"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 55.6,
      "democratic_candidate": "Sherrod Brown",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "OH",
      "rating": "Tossup",
      "republican_candidate": "Jon Husted",
      "republican_pct": 44.4,
      "state": "OH"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 1.4,
      "democratic_candidate": "N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "OK",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Kevin Hern",
      "republican_pct": 98.6,
      "state": "OK"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 82.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Jeff Merkley",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "OR",
      "rating": "Likely D",
      "republican_candidate": "David Brock Smith",
      "republican_pct": 17.7,
      "state": "OR"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 97.4,
      "democratic_candidate": "John F. Reed",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": "Michael Bahry",
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "RI",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Raymond T. McKay",
      "republican_pct": 2.6,
      "state": "RI"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 26.4,
      "democratic_candidate": "Annie Andrews",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "SC",
      "rating": "Lean R",
      "republican_candidate": "Darline Graham",
      "republican_pct": 73.6,
      "state": "SC"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 0.2,
      "democratic_candidate": null,
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": "Brian Bengs",
      "independent_pct": 5.1,
      "key": "SD",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Mike Rounds",
      "republican_pct": 94.7,
      "state": "SD"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 1.3,
      "democratic_candidate": "Marquita Bradshaw",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "TN",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Bill Hagerty",
      "republican_pct": 98.7,
      "state": "TN"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 68.7,
      "democratic_candidate": "James Talarico",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "TX",
      "rating": "Tilt D",
      "republican_candidate": "Ken Paxton",
      "republican_pct": 31.3,
      "state": "TX"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 98.2,
      "democratic_candidate": "Mark Warner",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "D",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "VA",
      "rating": "Safe D",
      "republican_candidate": "Bert Mizusawa",
      "republican_pct": 1.8,
      "state": "VA"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 1.4,
      "democratic_candidate": "Rachel Fetty Anderson",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "WV",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Shelley Moore Capito",
      "republican_pct": 98.6,
      "state": "WV"
    },
    {
      "democrat_pct": 1.6,
      "democratic_candidate": "James W. Byrd",
      "district": null,
      "incumbent_party": "R",
      "independent_candidate": null,
      "independent_pct": 0,
      "key": "WY",
      "rating": "Safe R",
      "republican_candidate": "Harriet Hageman",
      "republican_pct": 98.4,
      "state": "WY"
    }
  ],
  "seat_distribution": [
    {
      "democrat_seats": 53,
      "probability_pct": 0
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 54,
      "probability_pct": 0.01
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 55,
      "probability_pct": 0.06
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 56,
      "probability_pct": 0.22
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 57,
      "probability_pct": 0.85
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 58,
      "probability_pct": 2.15
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 59,
      "probability_pct": 4.81
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 60,
      "probability_pct": 8.57
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 61,
      "probability_pct": 13.12
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 62,
      "probability_pct": 16.79
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 63,
      "probability_pct": 17.42
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 64,
      "probability_pct": 15.08
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 65,
      "probability_pct": 10.61
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 66,
      "probability_pct": 6.1
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 67,
      "probability_pct": 2.82
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 68,
      "probability_pct": 1
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 69,
      "probability_pct": 0.32
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 70,
      "probability_pct": 0.06
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 71,
      "probability_pct": 0.01
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 72,
      "probability_pct": 0
    },
    {
      "democrat_seats": 73,
      "probability_pct": 0
    }
  ],
  "source_url": "https://civicapi.org/api/v2/forecast/senate/2026/civicapi",
  "state": null,
  "totals": {
    "democrat": 62,
    "independent": 0,
    "republican": 59,
    "tossup": 5
  },
  "year": 2026
}

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